Anthropic IPO first-day market capAbove $2,250B31%Yes31.1¢No69.0¢Above $2,000B69%Yes68.9¢No31.1¢Deadline Jan 1, 2027
SP500 above 7,799.8 at Oct 8, 2026 20:00 UTC?50% chance50%chanceYes53.0¢No54.0¢Final price in 22h 56m
SP500 above ___ on Oct 9, 20:00 UTC?SP500$7,81048%Yes52.6¢No56.5¢$7,73588%Yes92.1¢No16.9¢Final price in 1d 22h
CL above ___ on Oct 30, 20:00 UTC?CL$100—Chance unknownYes96.0¢No96.5¢$82—Chance unknownYes96.5¢No39.0¢Final price in 22d 22h
XYZ100 above 31,156 at Oct 8, 2026 20:00 UTC?51% chance51%chanceYes52.0¢No50.3¢Final price in 22h 56m
SPCX above ___ on Oct 30, 20:00 UTC?SPCX$165—Chance unknownYes96.4¢No96.4¢$13593%Yes97.0¢No10.9¢Final price in 22d 22h
XYZ100 above ___ on Oct 9, 20:00 UTC?XYZ100$31,39526%Yes30.8¢No78.2¢$30,87082%Yes87.3¢No22.6¢Final price in 1d 22h
Anthropic IPO first-day market capAbove $2,250B—Chance unknownYes99.9¢No99.9¢Above $2,000B—Chance unknownYes99.9¢No99.9¢Deadline Dec 31
TSM above ___ on Oct 16, 13:35 UTC?TSM$540—Chance unknownYes99.2¢No99.2¢$440—Chance unknownYes99.7¢No96.0¢Final price in 8d 16h
ASML above ___ on Oct 15, 13:35 UTC?ASML$2,050—Chance unknownYes96.0¢No99.9¢$1,700—Chance unknownYes99.9¢No96.0¢Final price in 7d 16h
GOLD above ___ on Oct 30, 20:00 UTC?GOLD$4,600—Chance unknownYes95.9¢No97.0¢$3,800—Chance unknownYes97.0¢No87.8¢Final price in 22d 22h
XYZ100 above ___ on Oct 12, 20:00 UTC?XYZ100$31,64015%Yes19.4¢No89.9¢$31,11557%Yes62.4¢No47.4¢Final price in 4d 22h
SP500 above ___ on Oct 12, 20:00 UTC?SP500$7,77069%Yes74.2¢No35.4¢$7,69591%Yes95.4¢No13.3¢Final price in 4d 22h
XYZ100 above ___ on Oct 14, 20:00 UTC?XYZ100$31,11557%Yes62.0¢No47.8¢$30,59084%Yes88.4¢No21.0¢Final price in 6d 22h
